ABPZ20 KNHC 081134
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Oct 8 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP99):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located about 150 miles west of Manzanillo, Mexico, have changed
little in organization since yesterday. Only a small increase in
organization could result in the formation of a tropical depression
during the next day or so. By late Wednesday, upper-level winds are
forecast to become more unfavorable, and further development is not
expected. The system is forecast to move slowly north-northwestward
to northwestward, roughly parallel to the coast of Mexico. Interests
along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress
of this system. Regardless of development, the disturbance could
bring areas of heavy rain to portions of southwestern Mexico during
the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart